There are two sides to this issue: PNU and ODM.
The PNU view is that Kibaki won the elections fairly and then Raila incited people against him and his people the Kikuyu. For evidence PNU cites the many IDPs and deaths of Kikuyus in Rift Valley.
ODM on the other hand says Kibaki knew he was going to lose the election just as he had lost the referendum. He decided to avoid defeat at all costs even if it meant people dying. So he started planning how to rigg elections and how to beat any protests against him. In this he was assisted by instruments of state terror such as police, GSU and the APs.
But first to the list
Everybody including the government of Kenya is speculating on who is and who is not on the Crimes Against Humanity List composed by the Waki Commission on Post Election Violence. Here is Tingisa's list:
- Emilio Mwai Kibaki - Duly Elected President of Kenya
- Raila Amolo Odinga - Duly Appointed Prime Minister of Kenya
- John Njoroge Michuki - Duly Appointed Minister
- George Saitoti
- Uhuru Kenyatta
- Brigadier Ali - Police Commissioner
- GSU Commandant
- Stanley Murage
- William Ruto
- Frankline Bett
Of these people, Ruto will be the first to be sent to The Hague. That is because the perception in the public mind created by Moi and sons as pay back for beating them on their own home front is that everyone believes he is guilty of something. However Ruto will also be the first to return from The Hague triumphantly.
Of the remaining lot, no charges will be preferred against Raila, Uhuru and Bett. They will however never get a clean bill of health from the ICC. By that their international reputation will forever suffer from blemish. However Kibaki, Ali, Stanley Murage and this GSU commandant may be a long time in The Hague.
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